19. 7. 2019  2:18 Dušana
Akademický informačný systém

Sylabus predmetu B_MPE_PROC - Modeling and forecasting of economic processes (IM - SS 2018/2019)


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University: Slovak University of Technology in Bratislava
Faculty: Institute of Management of the STU
Course unit code: B_MPE_PROC
Course unit title: Modeling and forecasting of economic processes
Mode of delivery, planned learning activities and teaching methods:
workshop3 hours weekly (on-site method)

 
Credits allocated: 3
 
Recommended semester/trimester: Investment Planning in Industrial Enterprise - bachelor (semi-compulsory), 6. semester
Investment Planning in Industrial Enterprise (in english language) - bachelor (semi-compulsory), 6. semester
Level of study: 1.
Prerequisites for registration: none
 
Assesment methods:
Active participation in exercises, fulfillment of assignment. Obtaining at least 56 points from the test.
 
Learning outcomes of the course unit:
The subject provides knowledge in the field of different forecasting methods from universal methods such as brainstorming, the panel of experts through structural methods, procedural methods to exact mathematical-statistical methods, trend extrapolation, ARIMA models and artificial intelligence systems. Students gain a comprehensive view on the issue of modeling and forecasting of economic variables.
 
Course contents:
Introduction to forecasting methods.
Universal methods - brainstorming, the panel of experts, participatory methods.
Structural methods - cross-interaction, system approach, future wheel.
Procedural methods - time series analysis, trend extrapolation.
The Delphi method.
ARIMA models.
Simulations, games and artificial intelligence.
Artificial neural networks.
 
Recommended or required reading:
Basic:
PACÁKOVÁ, V. Štatistika pre ekonómov. Bratislava : Iura Edition, 2003. 358 p. ISBN 80-89047-74-2.
RUBLÍKOVÁ, E. Analýza časových radov. Bratislava : Iura Edition, 2007. 207 p. ISBN 978-80-8078-139-2.
PÁNIK, M. Analýza cien nehnuteľností určených na bývanie v SR a predikcia vývoja priemerných cien bytov v roku 2013. In Manažment v teórii a praxi.: vedecká konferencia doktorandov a mladých pracovníkov Management in Theory and Practice, 6.12.2012, Bratislava. Bratislava : Univerzita Komenského v Bratislave, 2012, p. 254--263. ISBN 978-80-223-3351-1.
KVASNIČKA, V. Úvod do teórie neurónových sietí. Bratislava : IRIS-Knižní klub, 1997. 285 p. ISBN 80-88778-30-1.
PÁNIK, M. Comparison of the efficiency of special real estate funds by the score method and cordance analysis. In GOLEJ, J. -- ŠPIRKOVÁ, D. -- IVANIČKA, K. Innovative Trends in Construction and Real Estate Sector. ITCRES 2013: Book of abstracts. International Scientific Conference on Real Estate, Management, Technology Innovations and Education, Bratislava, Slovakia, 9th - 10th May, 2013. 1st ed. Bratislava : STU v Bratislave, 2013, p. 58. ISBN 978-80-227-3931-3.

 
Language of instruction: slovak or english
 
Notes:
 
Courses evaluation:
Assessed students in total: 13

ABCDEFX
53,8 %30,8 %15,4 %0 %0 %0 %
Name of lecturer(s): Ing. Miroslav Pánik, PhD. (person responsible for course) - slovak, english
 
Last modification: 13. 5. 2019
Supervisor: Ing. Miroslav Pánik, PhD. and programme supervisor


Last modification made by Ing. Štefan Tar on 05/13/2019.

Typ výstupu: