Hybrid flood modelling and forecasting framework for the real time control of water resources systems and flood risk estimation.Supervisor: prof. RNDr. Radko Mesiar, DrSc.
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|Project description:||The devastating floods in Slovakia invoked the need to increase the standards of real time river flow forecasts by introducing forecasts with uncertainty estimates needed for effective flood risk management and control of water resources systems. The project aims to approach short term flood forecasting with a hybrid modeling approach by decomposing the problem into component processes and using process physics models where appropriate and time series models where these are best suited. Such an approach will be used in several combinations: for hydrological model input forecasting, hydrological model error forecasting and rainfall runoff process forecasting. Nonlinear time series models including regime switching models will be developed for the time series component of the hybrid modeling framework. Further methods of regional transfer of hydrological model parameters will be investigated for the process models in order to enable forecasting in ungauged basins. Consecutively the possibility of the transfer of the whole hybrid modeling framework to ungauged or data sparse basins will be investigated under various physiographic conditions of the mountainous regions of Slovakia.|
|Kind of project:||VEGA ()|
|Department:||Department of Mathematics and Constructive Geometry (FCE)|
|Project status:||Successfully completed|
|Project start date :||01. 01. 2007|
|Project close date:||31. 12. 2009|
|Number of workers in the project:||1|
|Number of official workers in the project:||0|